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http://ir.nhri.org.tw/handle/3990099045/13914
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| Title: | Geographical variations of the minimum mortality temperature at a global scale: A multicountry study |
| Authors: | Tobías, A;Hashizume, M;Honda, Y;Sera, F;Ng, CFS;Kim, Y;Roye, D;Chung, Y;Dang, TN;Kim, H;Lee, W;Íñiguez, C;Vicedo-Cabrera, A;Abrutzky, R;Guo, Y;Tong, S;Coelho, M;Saldiva, PHN;Lavigne, E;Correa, PM;Ortega, NV;Kan, H;Osorio, S;Kyselý, J;Urban, A;Orru, H;Indermitte, E;Jaakkola, JJK;Ryti, NRI;Pascal, M;Huber, V;Schneider, A;Katsouyanni, K;Analitis, A;Entezari, A;Mayvaneh, F;Goodman, P;Zeka, A;Michelozzi, P;de'Donato, F;Alahmad, B;Diaz, MH;De la Cruz Valencia, C;Overcenco, A;Houthuijs, D;Ameling, C;Rao, S;Di Ruscio, F;Carrasco, G;Seposo, X;Nunes, B;Madureira, J;Holobaca, IH;Scovronick, N;Acquaotta, F;Forsberg, B;Åström, C;Ragettli, MS;Guo, YL;Chen, BY;Li, S;Colistro, V;Zanobetti, A;Schwartz, J;Dung, DV;Armstrong, B;Gasparrini, A |
| Contributors: | National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences |
| Abstract: | BACKGROUND: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. METHODS: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. RESULTS: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD. CONCLUSIONS: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation. |
| Date: | 2021-10 |
| Relation: | Environmental Epidemiology. 2021 Oct;5(5):Article number e169. |
| Link to: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/ee9.0000000000000169 |
| Cited Times(Scopus): | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85124185051 |
| Appears in Collections: | [陳秉鈺] 期刊論文
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